How To Pick Your Winner When Betting On The Final Four
There is probably no way to suggest picking an accurate Final Four. To do so, you have to pick all teams on the bracket and get all the games right. This is an incredible long shot. However, once the Final Four is set, you can certainly attempt to pick a winner. But how would you go about it? There are two main things to look at here: Momentum and team statistics.
For the momentum side, you want to look at a team's road to the Final Four. How did they get there? Let's say one team in there is Kentucky, and they just coasted to the Final Four by beating the teams handily. Is this really momentum, or does this make them prime for an upset due to a letting down of the guard? It all depends on their opponent. Let's say they're playing Duke, who has just won back-to-back overtime games, true nail-biters, against teams better than they were on paper. This is what would be considered the most momentum between the two – the team that actually scratched and clawed and that seems like it's on a mission. But don't use this factor alone. You also have to dig into the team stats to better understand what's what. For instance, Kentucky may be holding their opponents to 32% shooting from the field. If this is the case, then all the momentum in the world might not help Duke. However, check out Duke's shooting stats. Say they're shooting 50% from beyond the arch. Even if Kentucky knocked 10 points off this, that would still equate to around 40 points for Duke coming from 3, which is nearly impossible to defend. This might tilt the odds back in Duke's favor.
The idea here is to look strongly at both factors and make your determination based on the most logical combination you can reach. The team that has momentum, and the stats to back them up. If you can find this combination, you can find your Final Four winner. Most everyone else just sticks with picking the highest remaining seeds. Not bad on its face, but just ask Mr. Obama whether front-running pays off.
Who is Favored to Make it to the 2016 Final Four?
It's an arduous task to select the winner of any one single game, and that's why very few people actually making a living doing so. Though when you get to 64 separate teams, it becomes near impossible. That's why Warren Buffett's billion-dollar bracket challenge has yet to be won, and probably will not be won. Selecting winners for the entire tournament is just incredibly difficult. However, at Legal Betting Online, we'd like to take a stab at what we think the Final Four will look like this year.
Keep in mind, however, that at the point of writing this, the conference tournaments are still being played and Selection Sunday hasn't even kicked off yet. Though we still want to preview the Final Four, and we're doing so based on the top-seeded teams to date, the teams with the best records, and the teams with the most momentum going into March Madness.
Up first, we really see the Big 12 doing very well in the tournament this year. When it comes to men's football, the lack of true competition weighs heavily on teams like Baylor and Oklahoma when they end up with a loss, but still there's a road to the playoffs, as we saw with the Sooners this previous season. With basketball, the field is a little more wide open, and we expect a few of the Big 12's teams to actually do well. The Mountaineers of West Virginia are sitting with a record of 24-7, while the Oklahoma Sooners are 24-6. The best in the conference right now, and likely the odds-on favorite in the tournament, are the Kansas Jayhawks, at 27-4. No matter where they end up, we suspect a Final Four appearance.
Next up, the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) always produces some big teams. Duke, Virginia, Wake Forest, Clemson, Miami and Notre Dame are all part of the ACC, and one can expect Virginia to really dig into the tournament, and Duke's always dangerous with Coach K if they manage to get in. But the strongest team in that division this year is undoubtedly the North Carolina Tar Heels. At 25-6, Roy Williams' squad is playing some of the best basketball in the nation. And with players like Meeks, Hicks, Paige and Johnson, NC runs a small-ball court that almost resembles the Golden State Warriors of the NBA. They can shoot the lights out and basically out-hustle everyone on the floor. They're looking strong for a Final Four spot.
Breaking out of the Big East, the runaway favorite is Villanova, and the Wildcats are poised to do better in the tournament than they've done since the mid 1990s. What's really helping the Wildcats is that they have a strong senior class that hasn't abandoned them for the NBA yet. They have Henry Lowe, Ryan Arcidiacono, Daniel Ochefu, and Keven Rafferty providing some great veteran support, plus they should coast into the #1 seed in their respective region. A Final Four spot is looking like a great possibility.
Rounding out our Final Four, we have the Indiana Hoosiers. Not since the great movie with Gene Hackman have the Hoosiers actually been legitimate contenders. But coming out of the Big Ten this year with a conference record of 15-3, Indiana went through fire and brimstone to emerge the best school of the conference. They out-battled a slew of teams over .500 to take their conference, including Michigan, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Purdue, Maryland, and Michigan State. So in terms of their current trajectory, we can definitely see them ending up in the Final Four.
Duke vs Kentucky – N. Carolina vs. Wisconsin. This is our potential Final Four, with Kentucky just being too big and strong to lose, despite momentum.
And Then There Were 4 – A Look at the Final Four Leg of the NCAAB Playoffs
Now that we've spoken about the favorites and made predictions, let's have a look at the Final Four in general. Draw a circle in your mind, and then draw a cross through that circle. What do you have? Well, you don't have to be Leonardo Da Vinci to realize that you have four equal triangle-shaped sections. Now, into these sections, put 16 basketball teams, seeded 1-16, with #1 vs. #16, #2 vs. #15, and so on. This the construction of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament – March Madness. These teams battle it out in their respective section of the circle, and the final team remaining in each section will represent that section in the semi-final match-ups known as the Final Four.
The Final Four represents a huge feat of accomplishment for any team that makes it out of their respective tournament section. Each section has powerhouse teams seeded #1-16, so being able to emerge victorious is a feat all its own. However, things are just getting started with the Final Four, and you must win your respective match-up to make to the NCAA Finals for a chance at the Championship.
When betting on the Final Four, or anything within the realm of the NCAA tournament, remember to study the teams specifically, their statistics, their opponents, and even to focus on their momentum. You want to acquire and use as much knowledge as possible when betting on March Madness. Blind betting is like flipping a coin and expecting it to land on its side. The more you study the subject here, the more likely you are to win your bets.