Thanksgiving Day Football Betting Guide
On Thanksgiving, people who bet on not only football but all other sports as well, have a lot to be thankful for.
From land-based legal sports betting sweeping the nation following the repeal of PASPA in May 2018 to being able to legally place wagers on sports at online licensed offshore sportsbooks, there truly has never been a better time to bet on sports than right now.
This year, the NFL has three matchups on Thanksgiving Day to bet on, and it is legal to do that at any of the top sports betting sites below.
We’ve made sure each one upholds our high standard and can guarantee each one is safe to use and will pay out all your winning wagers before you and the family can even start eating all those leftovers.
Is It Legal To Bet On Thanksgiving Day Football Games?
Yes, there is nothing illegal about betting on sports in the US. Some states have now legalized online sports betting, while the vast majority of states have not. If you live in a state that hasn't legalized sports betting yet, you can still bet with an offshore site. As long as the site is located outside of the US, they aren't breaking any laws.
2020 Thanksgiving NFL Betting Guide – Tips and Strategies
Filling up on bread, i.e. getting simple, generic betting advice, is never a good idea because it fills you up before taking a bite of the main course and is worse for you in the long-run.
Here are five meaty tips to keep in mind when betting on any of the Thanksgiving Day NFL matchups.
Know the Recipe Before Cooking
History should play a major role in any bet on the NFL, but perhaps even more so on Thanksgiving Day matchups.
One of the most shocking stats is this one: Since 2013, the Lions are 4-2 against the spread, and the Cowboys are 1-5 ATS on Thanksgiving Day.
Get in Line While it’s Hot
Betting early is one of the best ways to get value in either the afforded points in a line or on the bet itself. This is key when considering one spread this time last year shifted four points by the time the game started.
Lines for Thanksgiving Day games can change dramatically due to the volume of money placed on one of the NFL’s most popular betting days.
Gobble Up the Favorites
But who should you bet on? Well, if history is any indicator, then choosing the favorites is a pretty safe bet. However, it depends on the sample size.
Since 2006, favorites are 26-11 with a 70 percent win rate on Thanksgiving and are only 10-6, amounting to a 63 percent win rate going back to 2013. Since the NFL added another game to the holiday slate, the win percentage has only increased during that time, and the favorites went 3-0 in 2018.
Give the Public a Plate
Instead of “fading the public” on Thursday, you’re much better off fixing them a plate, cracking open a beer, and betting on the teams they favor.
For Thanksgiving matchups, when more than 50 percent bet on the favorite, the favorite has covered 65 percent of the time. The odds go up when more public tickets come in. More than 60 percent of tickets wagered win 71 percent of the time while more than 70 percent of tickets bet has the favorite covering a whopping 89 percent of Turkey Day matchups.
Pass it Under the Table
Lastly, one trend you may want to consider taking advantage of taking the under in the primetime over/under to close out Turkey Day. Since 2014, every primetime game on Thanksgiving has fallen under the total. And last year it was more of the same because the total was 59.0 points and the game finished with 48 total points.
While the Saints were red hot going into the matchup against the Falcons, division rivalry games the second time around traditionally yield far fewer points since both teams are more familiar with each other. Or maybe the teams just had too much to eat during the day?
To gobble up even more in-depth approaches to your betting action, check out our page dedicated to effective NFL betting strategies.
2020 Thanksgiving Day NFL Matchups
The 2019 NFL season schedule is officially released, and there are two matchups that will get second helpings, according to what's on the table for this year's edition of the NFL on Thanksgiving. The betting lines are not quite ready yet, but we'll be sure to update you when the oddsmakers take them out of the oven!
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Mitchell Trubisky hopes to grab a plate for this go-around after missing year's gathering due to injury. But the Bears didn't need their star QB since the defense feasted on the Lions 23-16 during last year's noon matchup and are coming back to Motown to open up another can of cranberries this year.
Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys
The afternoon game features the Bills heading down to the Lonestar State to take on the Cowboys, and based on the talent difference between the two teams this year; we'll likely see Dallas residents have to clear off some room on their tables to make room for the buffalo that's getting served.
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
And in primetime, we have another regathering - only this time it's going down in Hotlanta. The Saints cleaned and made gumbo out of the dirty birds 31-17 in New Orleans last year. Now they march to the East for what could be a closer affair with even more points. The only question that remains: Will the Chick-fil-a open in the stadium for Thanksgiving?! Don't bet on it!
2018 Thanksgiving Day – Results
The favorites managed to win all three NFL games on Thanksgiving Day, and I hope that everyone had a great holiday, spent some quality time with the family, and bet chalk on Turkey Day.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Bears won 23-16, covered the -4.5 spread, and the final score (39 points) went under the total (46).
Backup quarterback Chase Daniel filled in for the injured Mitchell Trubisky and threw two touchdowns while defensive end Khalil Mack and the Bears defense feasted on quarterback Matthew Stafford and the Lions offense, winning their fifth game in a row and extending their lead atop the NFC North.
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys won 31-23, covered the -7.5 spread, and the final score (54 points) went under the total (40.5).
Running back Ezekiel Elliot put $21 (his number) in the Salvation Army kettle after scoring a touchdown, recently acquired wide receiver Amari Cooper stole the show with 8 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns performance while quarterback Colt McCoy and the Redskins baked too many turnovers, allowing the Cowboys to take control in the NFC East.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Saints won 31-17, covered the -13.0 spread, and the final score (48 points) went over the total (59).
Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw four touchdowns while the Falcons served up several buttery footballs in the red zone, fumbling three times while in scoring position, and New Orleans celebrated Saintsgiving with their 10th victory in a row, eliminating the dirty birds from NFC South contention and pulled further ahead in the division race.
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