The 2026 Winter Olympics in Milan have reached their fever pitch. As we head into the final days of the hockey tournament, the storylines are shifting from preliminary dominance to survival. While the usual suspects sit atop the betting boards, injuries and historic shutout streaks are threatening to flip the script.
Men’s Tournament (Semifinals)
Finland vs. Canada (Friday – 10:40 AM ET)
- Spread: Canada -2.5 (EVEN) | Finland +2.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Canada -500 | Finland +375
- Total: Over 5.5 (-115) | Under 5.5 (-105)
The biggest story in Milan isn’t a scoreline; it’s a medical report. Team Canada captain Sidney Crosby is “questionable” after suffering a lower-body injury in the quarterfinals against Czechia. While Canada remains a -500 favorite at hockey betting sites, the line has seen movement as bettors weigh the impact of losing their legendary leader.
Logan Thompson is expected to get the nod in net, facing off against Finland’s Juuse Saros. The Finns are a disciplined squad known for “Sisu,” a unique brand of grit, and with a +375 moneyline at Winter Olympics sportsbooks, they represent the most dangerous upset threat on the board.
Slovakia vs. USA (Friday – 3:10 PM ET)
- Spread: USA -3.0 (+105) | Slovakia +3.0 (-125)
- Moneyline: USA -850 | Slovakia +550
- Total: Over 6.0 (-110) | Under 6.0 (-110)
The Americans barely survived their quarterfinal, needing a Quinn Hughes overtime heroics to move past Sweden. Now, they face a Slovakia team that is playing with house money. Despite the USA being massive -850 favorites, the Slovaks have the tournament’s breakout star in Juraj Slafkovsky and a hot hand in goalie Samuel Hlavaj.
The spread sits at USA -3.0, suggesting oddsmakers expect the Americans to finally find their offensive rhythm after a low-scoring quarterfinal.
Winter Olympics 2026 – Men’s Futures
- Canada -140
- USA +120
- Finland +1500
- Slovakia +3300
As it stands, the “Big Two” are still the safest bets to find themselves on the top step of the podium on Sunday. Canada are the favorite, but that outcome is heavily reliant on Crosby’s ability to return for the final. USA can win it all if Hellebuyck stays hot. The Americans are going for their first Gold since 1980.
Women’s Tournament (Medal Games)
Before the men take the ice for their semifinals, the hockey world will stop for the Women’s Gold Medal Game (1:10 PM ET). It is the matchup everyone expected, but with a statistical twist that has oddsmakers leaning heavily toward the Stars and Stripes.
Team USA enters as a -450 moneyline favorite at legal Olympics betting sites, fueled by a historic defensive run. Goaltender Aerin Frankel has been a brick wall, leading a defensive unit that hasn’t allowed a goal in over 331 minutes, an Olympic record. With a staggering tournament scoring margin of 31–1, the Americans are looking to cement one of the most dominant runs in the history of the sport.
Canada, listed as a +350 underdog at Bovada, is in a rare position as the “longshot.” However, never count out “Captain Clutch” Marie-Philip Poulin. After being shut out 5–0 by the U.S. in the preliminary round, the Canadians are hungry for revenge and a chance to prove that their veteran core still owns the biggest stage in sports.
In the early game (8:40 AM ET), Sweden and Switzerland battle for Bronze. Sweden is the favorite at -230, but the Swiss are desperate to end a 12-year medal drought.
Sweden vs. Switzerland — Bronze Medal (8:40 AM ET)
- Spread: Sweden -1.0 (-130) | Switzerland +1.0 (+110)
- Moneyline: Sweden -230 | Switzerland +190
- Total: Over 4.5 (EVEN) | Under 4.5 (-120)
Switzerland is looking for its first medal since 2014. They’ll need a massive performance from goaltender Saskia Maurer, who has been under siege all tournament, to hold off a balanced Swedish attack.
Canada vs. USA — Gold Medal (1:10 PM ET)
- Spread: USA -2.5 (+120) | Canada +2.5 (-145)
- Moneyline: USA -450 | Canada +350
- Total: Over 5.5 (+120) | Under 5.5 (-145)
This is the heavyweight rematch everyone expected. Team USA enters as the favorite behind goaltender Aerin Frankel, who hasn’t allowed a goal in over 330 minutes of play. Canada is looking for revenge after being shut out by the Americans earlier in the tournament.