Legal Thanksgiving Day Football Betting Guide – Matchups, Odds, and Previews
On Thanksgiving, people who bet on not only football but all other sports as well, have a lot to be thankful for.
From land-based legal sports betting sweeping the nation following the repeal of PASPA in May 2018 to being able to legally place wagers on sports at online licensed offshore sportsbooks, there truly has never been a better time to bet on sports than right now.
This year, the NFL has three matchups on Thanksgiving Day to bet on, and it is legal to do that at any of the licensed sports betting sites below.
We’ve made sure each one upholds our high standard and can guarantee each one is safe to use and will payout all your winning wagers before you and the family can even start eating all those leftovers.
Most Reputable Online Sportsbooks
To Bet Football On Thanksgiving
2018 Thanksgiving NFL Betting Guide – Tips and Strategies
Filling up on bread i.e. getting simple, generic betting advice, is never a good idea because it fills you up before taking a bite of the main course and is worse for you in the long-run.
Here are five meaty tips to keep in mind when betting on any of the Thanksgiving Day NFL matchups.
Know the Recipe Before Cooking
History should play a major role in any bet on the NFL, but perhaps even more so on Thanksgiving Day matchups.
One of the most shocking stats is this one: Since 2013, the Lions are 4-1 against the spread and the Cowboys are 0-5 ATS on Thanksgiving Day.
Get in Line While it’s Hot
Betting early is one of the best ways to get value in either the afforded points in a line or on the bet itself. This is key when considering one spread this time last year shifted four points by the time the game started.
Lines for Thanksgiving Day games can change dramatically due to the volume of money placed on one of the NFL’s most popular betting days.
Gobble Up the Favorites
But who should you bet on? Well, if history is any indicator, then choosing the favorites is a pretty safe bet. However, it depends on the sample size.
Since 2006, favorites are 23-11 with a 68 percent win rate on Thanksgiving but are only 7-6, amounting to a 54 percent win rate, since 2013. Since the NFL added another game to the holiday slate, the win percentage is huge, but the gap has closed in the past five years. Favorites went 2-0 in 2017.
Give the Public a Plate
Instead of “fading the public” on Thursday, you’re much better off fixing them a plate, cracking open a beer, and betting on the teams they favor.
For Thanksgiving matchups, when more than 50 percent bet on the favorite, the favorite has covered 65 percent of the time. The odds go up when more public tickets come in. More than 60 percent of tickets wagered win 71 percent of the time while more than 70 percent of tickets bet has the favorite covering a whopping 89 percent of Turkey Day matchups.
Pass it Under the Table
Lastly, one trend you may want to consider taking advantage of taking the under in the primetime over/under to close out Turkey Day. Since 2014, every primetime game on Thanksgiving has fallen under the total.
This year’s total is 59.0 points, and while the Saints have been red hot, division rivalry games the second time around traditionally yield far fewer points since both teams are more familiar with each other.
2018 Thanksgiving Day – NFL Matchup Results
The favorites managed to win all three NFL games on Thanksgiving Day, and I hope everyone had a great holiday, spent some quality time with the family, and bet chalk on Turkey Day.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Bears won 23-16, covered the -4.5 spread and the final score (39 points) went under the total (46).
Backup quarterback Chase Daniel filled in for the injured Mitchell Trubisky and threw two touchdowns while defensive end Khalil Mack and the Bears defense feasted on quarterback Matthew Stafford and the Lions offense, winning their fifth game in a row and extending their lead atop the NFC North.
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys won 31-23, covered the -7.5 spread and the final score (54 points) went under the total (40.5).
Running back Ezekiel Elliot put $21 (his number) in the Salvation Army kettle after scoring a touchdown, recently acquired wide receiver Amari Cooper stole the show with 8 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns performance while quarterback Colt McCoy and the Redskins baked too many turnovers, allowing the Cowboys to take control in the NFC East.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Saints won 31-17, covered the -13.0 spread and the final score (48 points) went over the total (59).
Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw four touchdowns while the Falcons served up several buttery footballs in the red zone, fumbling three times while in scoring position, and New Orleans celebrated Saintsgiving with their 10th victory in a row, eliminating the dirty birds from NFC South contention and pulled further ahead in the division race.